Posted by
Andrews on Wednesday, March 19, 2008 9:15:35 AM
I suppose I should wait for the public reaction to Obama's speech, so I can judge how well he sold his speech to the public. Still I have some thoughts that I think may make his speech less convincing.
First, the delay between Obama's scandal coming to light and his speech scream "ghost writer". I don't know if most of American will pick up on it, but the fact that he waited until a winning speech had been written doesn't convince me he was speaking from the heart.
Second, even with a professional ghostwriter, the claims just don't add up. He can
insult his grandmother all he wants, but it just doesn't make sense that he knew nothing about Wright.
I have covered that before,
again and
again, so I will not explain here. All I will say is that it is far too convenient that he somehow spent 20 years completely ignorant of what was going on under his nose. Either he is lying or he is so dimwitted as to be ineligible to become president.
Finally, even if the public buys it, doesn't his need to repeatedly denounce those around him make voters uncomfortable? He had to denounce Farrakhan's support, then he had to kick Rev. Wright off his campaign and denounce his views. I am sure Billy Ayers will come soon. I don't know for certain, but I have a feeling at some point voters will start having second thoughts about a candidate who has to spend so much time issuing denunciations and repudiating those who are on his campaign committee, who were once his friends, or who supported him.
Having said that, I don't know anything for certain. The voters can behave unpredicatbly. So, until I see what the public does, and how the MSM tries to spin this, I will leave Obama alone for now. Anything I can say is just speculation. The voters will decide in the end, and I will wait for them to speak before I say anything more.
Actually, that isn't quite right. The voters may not decide it. As the Democrats have created the peculiar superdelegate institution, they have short-circuited the popular vote. So I should say "The voters or the superdelegates will decide." And
my thoughts on the superdelegates have been recorded elsewhere. So, perhaps this scandal will be decisive, whether the public buys Obama's story or not. If it is enough to push the superdelegates away from Obama, it does not matter what the public believes.
But to decide about that, we will need to wait for the convention.