Posted by
Andrews on Thursday, May 22, 2008 10:25:30 AM
I
asked earlier if I were mad for thinking Obama looks weak or if the pundits were right and McCain is destined to lose.
I mentioned in my earlier article the several historical incidents where pundits were proved wrong. On the other hand, I forgot the many times they were wrong this race. Such as when they wrote off McCain early in the primary. Or when they predicted a Clinton coronation. Or when they predicted the Wright tapes would do no harm. Or when they predicted a massive outpouring of superdelegate support for Obama. Or when they predicted Clinton's demise. Or the other time they predicted Clinton's demise. Or that other time...
Well, you get the idea.
Given their track record, I am sticking with common sense and ignoring the pundits. If Obama can't even win over blue collar Democrats, even before McCain has started attacking in earnest, he is not going to win independents. Combined with the defecting Hillary supporters, even if we assume a number of Republicans sitting out in protest, this spells certain defeat.
The fact is we have yet to see a serious effort to expose the real Obama to voters. Clinton learned from the Ferraro incident that a strong attack could be painted as racism, so she has pulled her punches. And the media might as well wear "I HEART OBAMA" t-shirts. So Obama has received the kid glove treatment, yet is still unable to crush Clinton. Once the real campaign starts, with Ayers, Rezko and Wright being mentioned over and over, along with Obama's promises to invade Pakistan and talk with Iran, or his flip flops on whether Iran is a threat, or the bitter voter quote, I just don't see a massive groundswell of Obama support.
But we will see in November.