Posted by
Andrews on Monday, January 30, 2012 1:23:01 PM
I know many people have problems with Gingrich, with his work as a lobbyist, or his sometimes deviations from conservative orthodoxy, or with his supposed "arrogance", and others have problems with Santorum, with his religious beliefs or some of his statements,or his role in the fight over the Specter seat, but honestly, who thinks Romney has a chance of winning? Is it not just McCain all over again?
Romney is, whatever he might claim, a moderate Republican. In fact, he was once an independent who supported Tsongas, so let us be honest and call him a liberal Republican. So, to whom is he going to appeal? Some conservatives may vote for him out of party loyalty, but most, I think, will just sit this one out, as they did in 2008. The liberals, if they are true liberals, will not vote for him, as he is pretty much a "me too, but less" liberal, and if you want liberal, why go with watered-down when you get full strength liberalism with Obama? And as far as moderates are concerned, when the two candidates are so close in beliefs, why not go with the evil you know rather than an unknown? Finally, unlike Reagan who offered a real alternative and got cross over votes*, what incentive is there for Democrats to jump ship to get pretty much the same thing?
As I said, under what theory, other than Obama doing something suicidally stupid, could Romney win? Even if you hate Gingrich or Santorum, you have to admit, either one has a better chance of rallying the base than a blow dried, bland, dull as dishwater, former Tsongas independent who was liberal enough to win Massachusetts, and who supported a state version of ObamaCare hile in office.
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* It is a mistake of Republicans to think they need a liberal candidate popular with the media to get cross over votes and win the independents. As Reagan showed, strong conservative views are more likely to win over the middle.