About Me

Name:Andrews
Location: Riva, MD
Biography
Loading...

Create Your Own Blog Find Other Townhall Blogs

Comments

Bizarre Distinction

I was reading an interesting essay on the negligible impact of one time "rebate" checks, about which I will write more later, when I was struck by a completely arbitrary distinction very common in today's neo-Keynesian circles. Not just there, either, but among almost all politicians and the lapdog economists who write theory to justify their practices.

This distinction is the obsession with consumer spending and dismissing of savings. (Or the reverse error of focusing entirely on savings and ignoring consumption.)

Let us make this simple. There is no real difference between consumer spending and spending on "producer's goods". Does it matter to you if you manufacture blue jeans or tractors? Work is work. And a new factory is economic expansion whether it makes cinder blocks of tickle me Elmo dolls. Why do we think that "consumer spending" and "investment in production" are in any way distinct, and that one helps the economy more than the other?

Here is another simple truth. If I spend $100 it is $100 of spending. If I save half, it is bundled with a lot of other money and loaned out, and then the borrower spends it. So there is no "unspent money", unless I hide it under my mattress. Even Keynes recognized this, though he later contradicted himself, and his followers chose to believe there was some possible disparity between savings and investment.

But the truth is, excepting when there is monetary inflation or deflation, savings and investment are always equal, or very close to equal, allowing for some small unsupported expansion of credit, or money offered but not yet borrowed. Money doe snot sit in some mysterious pool of "savings", it goes to work as loans. So, the idea that only "consumer spending" drives an economy is just foolish.

Well, as I said, more on this later. I just cannot believe that such an absurd belief is still held by supposed educated economists.

Email ItEmail It | Print ItPrint It | CommentsComments (0) | TrackbacksTrackbacks (0) | Flag as offensiveFlag as Offensive

Short Term Solutions

Recently I have heard many Democrats decrying McCain's support of new drilling as taking too long and arguing that he offers no "short term solution". While they pretend that Obama's plans to inflate tires is a short term solution, in reality, the fact is there IS NO short term solution.

The problem is, this short term thinking dominated congress for years, with the Democrats, whether as a minority or majority, preventing us from starting any new energy production. As energy sources, whether oil, coal or nuclear, require years to put in place, and as we were not allowed to start any new production for eight years, we have no new energy set to come on line in the immediate future.

However, that does not mean we should repeat this error. Just because new wells may take years to become productive (though I really doubt the absurd 10 years Democrats claim, the Alaska pipeline took less than that), should we not do it because it won't reward us immediately? Then what will we do for energy in the future? Will we just be decrying the lack of a quick fix in another eight years?

It is absurd, but the Democrat claim seems to be that any solution will take too long, so, since there is no quick fix, we should do nothing, or just inflate our tires and make do. It makes me wonder why Democrats go to college, as it takes four years to pay off. Why not just stay home and cry about the shortage of good jobs for high school grad instead? That seems to be their energy policy.

UPDATE

Actually, I do have some short term solutions.

Another poster on a column suggested ending special gasoline blends for California and elsewhere as well as speeding up environmental reviews for new refineries and wells. Both sound suggestions.

I would also suggest looser restrictions on sulfur content and smokestack emissions for coal burning industries and electrical generators. If we could use coal in more places, we could rely on our abundant and cheap coal, thus freeing oil and natural gas for other uses. We may not be able to quickly produce more oil, but by using an abundant substitute, we can free oil for more essential uses.

Of course, if we didn't have restrictions on coal and oil usage, the market would have already done this, and oil prices would likely never have risen so high. But we are far from having a free market in energy.

Email ItEmail It | Print ItPrint It | CommentsComments (5) | TrackbacksTrackbacks (0) | Flag as offensiveFlag as Offensive

Some Global Warming Links

I normally don't post links, but in this case I found a few good ones.

First, some nostalgia for those old enough to remember global cooling. An article on engineering solutions to resolve global cooling. It is even more amusing because it sounds like some of the absurd solutions promoted to stop global warming. Also notice the "inverted hockey stick" graph. Seems they lied in the opposite direction back in the late 70's.

Second the site debunking the famed hockey stick graph. This is the research site form the fellows who found the problems with the data. Some is a bit technical, but it is a great site. (Myself, I simply argue that the hockey stick graph says it was not warmer in the late middle ages, so that must mean vikings built their homes under glaciers in Greenland and sailed there through ice covered seas. Since that makes no sense, I can't believe the graph. Actually, there is even more historical evidence than that rebutting the hockeystick, from Alpine villages now under glaciers, to simple historical records of plants thriving in climates now too cold for them, but apparently prominent figures of the late middle ages were in the pay of Big Oil and lied to hide the truth of global warming, or something... Anyway Dick Cheney is behind it all, or Karl Rove, I know that for sure.)

Third, a terribly amusing site Number Watch. Check out their "number of the month" feature, a lot of rebuttals of global warming nonsense there. They obviously have a slightly UK-centric bias, but the UK's insanities are close enough to those here that most of what they write will sound very familiar. (If anything the UK is like seeing the US five or ten years in the future, at least as concerns environmental and social idiocies.)

Finally, the best nutshell summary of everything wrong with global warming theories. I have been looking for this specific page for a long time, and finally found it tonight. If you click on no other link, at least give this a look.

Well, that's it. Just a few links. Normally I would at least make a few comments, but it is late, so I am just posting the links for my readers. I found the quite informative and hope you will too.

I will return to my more substantive posts either tomorrow after my business is complete, or Thursday morning at the latest. So check back often to see if there are new posts.

POSTSCRIPT


Actually, my sarcasm above raises a good question. Should Obama lose, and I am sure he will, how will the Democrats explain everything that happens after 2008? Without Dick Cheney and Haliburton to blame, and without Karl Rove to fill the Blofeld role, how can they explain any apparent conservative trends in the American public? Obviously, no right thinking people could believe in conservative views on their own, so what evil genius will they blame without Rove and Cheney?

And on a related note, has anyone noticed that, according to the left, Bush is both a moron and an evil genius? He is too stupid to tie his own shoes, but fooled all of congress into believing Iraq had WMDs. So, is he supposed to be an idiot savant specializing in deception? Or are the lefties saying Democrats in congress are even dumber than they pretend Bush is? For that matter, why do they want to claim Bush is a moron? He beat the two Democrat nominees for president, presumably their best and brightest, does it make them feel GOOD to lose to a moron? If it were me, I would be claiming he was an evil genius to help explain away my defeat...

Email ItEmail It | Print ItPrint It | CommentsComments (2) | TrackbacksTrackbacks (0) | Flag as offensiveFlag as Offensive

A Thought On Solar Energy

I was reading some posts people had written on energy, as well as commenting on another blog, when it struck me that those who promote green energy have a strangely myopic vision of energy use and production. They take their personal experience with solar cells or windmills and think it gives them some universal insight. Which is kind of like drawing conclusions about the Chili's chain from having run a lemonade stand as a child, or telling Hyatt how to operate because you had friends over last weekend.

How often have I heard someone say "My solar cells allow me to run my house and even have a bit extra, so I could power an electric car"?

First of all, I am very dubious of any such claims. The average solar energy world wide in a 24 hour period is 164 Watts per square meter. The best solar cell I could find has 28% efficiency. So, if you have an optimal cell and keep it spotless, have no trees to obstruct the light, and so on, you would need at least 22 square meters to get 24 kWh per day. And that is pretty much from a house setting in the middle of a barren plain, so that ti could get maximal solar exposure.

As the average family uses about 30 kWh per day, that would mean to replace just household energy consumption would require about 27 - 28 square meters, or a square about 16 feet on a side. Now, that sounds quite possible, but that assumes absolute peak efficiency, as well as no energy loss in storage batteries and so on. And it only covers AVERAGE home consumption. During spring and fall it would be far too much energy, in winter and summer when we use heating and cooling, it would be far too little.

If we assume peak usage is probably 2 to 3 times as much, and that efficiency is probably in the 15-20% range, we end up with a much larger solar panel requirement. To allow for peak consumption, dirty collectors, loss of energy in storage, subpar performance due to trees, other houses, whatever else gets between the sun and the collectors, we would probably need a much larger grid. Let us assume peak usage may rise as high as 3 kWh per hour, and that our collectors run about 15% efficiency. That means a square meter produces about 25 watts per square meter. So we need 40 square meters per kilowatt, or 120 square meters to meet peak demand. Since peak demand usually coincides (in summer) with peak energy production, I doubt we can rely on storage, and so we need to be able to produce it on demand. Meaning we would need a square almost 11 meters on a side, or a  set of solar collectors 33 feet by 33 feet. That is quite larger than most I have seen, which is why I doubt the rosy picture painted by many that they can completely power their house with solar panels.

Now, I could be wrong. If they have no air conditioning, use firewood for heating, and live in a relatively cloudless environment, as well as using less energy than a normal family, it is possible. I do not dispute that. But I think to extrapolate form that to claim that every family could do the same is just absurd.

And it gets more absurd the more you think about it. Let us allow that Joe Green can power his house in Arizona with solar cells. It means he gives up air conditioning and electric heat, and can't run the washing machine and oven at the same time, but he does do it. However, what about Emily Brown who lives in an apartment in New York? Even a six unit apartment would not have enough roof space to provide for all the tenants, not to mention the fact that neighboring buildings obstruct the sun except for a few hours around noon. And when we move to huge tenements, with a dozen floors and hundreds of units, separated from the neighboring building by only an alley, how should we put enough collectors on the roof to power them?

And residential power is actually the EASY part. If we take this "carry your own weight" philosophy to non-residential uses, it gets more absurd. Let us imagine a factory trying to power itself with only solar panels? Even if the residential ratio of roof area to power consumed (barely) allows solar to supply all the electricity, there is simply no way most factories could function solely on on-site solar collectors.

And since the comments I have seen mention electric cars, let us take that and ask, could the average UPS depot provide enough electricity to power its entire fleet of delivery trucks? Or your average train station provide enough solar electricity to power the entire fleet of trains? Could a cruise ship power itself with solar cells? Or a battle ship?

Yet, those advocating solar power make these silly extrapolations from their own experience. They even claim that they make enough power they could "sell it back to the grid". I am sorry, but even if they adopt a spartan lifestyle, there is simply no way roof top solar collectors could generate enough power to both supply themselves during non-generating times, level out their supply during unexpected drops, such as storms, and still provide any meaningful power to the "grid". This is simply a pipe dream.

And even if they could, it is a drop in the bucket compared to the true energy consumption of the US. In 2005 we consumed 29,000 TWh. That is a truly massive amount of energy. As I showed in an earlier essay, there is just no way some rooftop collectors are going to generate it. In fact, there is no way anything short of giving up entires states to nothing but electrical generation is going to replace it.

Solar is a nice idea for heating water and maybe charging cell phones. It is nice for powering gates at rest stops and maybe recharging lights in remote locations, but it really will never become our primary source of energy anytime soon. Perhaps in some distant future, when we develop a viable method for massive power transfer without wires, we can use huge space-based collectors which somehow beam home energy, but until then, I think we will need to either step up our production of petrochemicals, find another source of chemical energy, or, recognize the power inherent in the atomic nucleus, and go nuclear. Anything else is just fantasy.

POSTSCRIPT

By the way, theoilpatchplug on his blog does a similar review of windmills, though I think he may have been a bit overly generous to the windmill in his evaluation. Windmills, at least those about which I have information, are far from reliable, require regular maintenance, and are simply not feasible many places. As breakdowns are frequent if not properly maintained, any numbers need to include a large allowance for outages, making the numbers he used probably far too optimistic. Yet even then they don't seem to appealing, so I guess it doesn't make that much difference.

Well, you can read his post yourself and decide.

Email ItEmail It | Print ItPrint It | CommentsComments (4) | TrackbacksTrackbacks (0) | Flag as offensiveFlag as Offensive

An Open Letter to Obama Supporters

I have only one question for Obama supporters, and I hope some will reply. I understand that many people are unhappy with the current administration, for that matter I am not thrilled with them, but then again, the Democrats in congress are as much to blame for that as the Bush administration. After all, military intervention in both Afghanistan and Iraq enjoyed broad bipartisan support. And energy policy is a largely congressional, not presidential function. But even if we blame Bush, he isn't running, so hatred of Bush really should play no role in selecting a candidate.

So, given all that, why do you think Obama should be president? And please answer without using the words "hope", "change" or "new". And comparing him to Bush is a bit off topic, as Bush is not running.

I am asking because, much as I dislike her, I could at least see why people supported Hillary Clinton. She may have hedged her positions somewhat, but everyone was well aware of her beliefs. She had a clear position, clear ideas. I disagreed with them, but I could at least anticipate what she would do once in office. So, were Hillary the nominee, much as I dislike her, I could understand the nomination.

Obama is, simply put, a media creation. He has very little experience. His work experience is as a community organizer and lecturer at the University of Chicago. His experience practicing law was largely confined to political activism as well. Beyond that, his political experience is a single term as a state senator and not even one term as a US senator. He basically is at the point in his career where most people are attempting to get a better committee appointment, not where they are trying to run for president.

Of course, his shtick is that he is an outsider and new. However, his campaign shows nothing of the kind. He has run on basically empty rhetoric, and when he has given specifics it is more of the same from the far left, including such duds as more money for midnight basketball, that inspired such mockery during the Clinton years. The few times he has deviated and moved toward the center, as soon as his base has objected he has run back to the left and repudiated his new position.

And that, truly, is what makes me worried about him, his utter dishonesty. He has the most consistently left wing record of any senator (well, in the short time he has been a senator). He is clearly far to the left. He even fought the Illinois BIAPA when even NARAL admitted opposition would be a PR disaster. He is consistently to the left of even the most left wing Democrats, yet he packages himself as a uniter and a man who will reach across the aisle. But his history shows nothing of the kind. He has consistently been far to the left of his colleagues and shown no signs of even moderating his position, much less compromising, which one would expect from a uniter.

So, if he is not a uniter, is as dishonest and manipulative as any politician, he is pushing the same old left wing dogma, and he is as inexperienced as any nominee since Wendell Wilkie, what, precisely, makes him a good candidate for the presidency?

And please remember, two rules when you reply. First, no "change", "hope" or "new", and, second, George Bush is not running.

POSTSCRIPT

And please note that in my evaluation, I have studiously avoided mention of even such established facts as his membership at Trinity or his close relationships with Ayers and Rezko. Nor did I mention other objections such as his elitist attitude, his apparent lack of patriotism, and other similar complaints. I stuck entirely to pointing out those traits which I find essential to being a good president, and his lack of such qualifications. The only somewhat irrelevant complaint I did raise was about his honesty, but only because he is so often promoted as a "different kind of politician", and I think his obvious dishonesty disproves that claim.

The only reason I point this out is that I am not asking anyone to explain away these attacks, I want only to know what are the merits of Obama. I point this out as I am afraid many of the explanations will contain attacks on Bush or McCain rather than explanations of Obama's appeal. That is not what I want.

So, as I was able to show why I think Obama is unqualified without such slanders, please do the courtesy of explaining why he is qualified without resorting to slandering his opponent or our sitting president.

UPDATE

To clarify my opening paragraph, I support our military involvement in both Afghanistan and Iraq, I just think our vacillation and our inconsistency has been a problem. In fact, unlike most even in the Republican party, I regret that we have not provided more aid to dissidents inside Iran and Syria, or even initiated small scale actions against either. Syria's efforts to destabilize both Iraq and Lebanon are a danger to the region, and Iran's nuclear ambitions, as well their meddling in Iraq make them a threat as well.

So please do not take my opening paragraph to mean I think we should not have intervened in either nation. I simply wanted to point out to anti-war Democrats supporting Obama that the Democrats in congress largely supported the war as well, so to blame Bush alone is absurd.

Email ItEmail It | Print ItPrint It | CommentsComments (16) | TrackbacksTrackbacks (0) | Flag as offensiveFlag as Offensive

A New Fairy Tale

I was watching cartoons with my son when I saw an episode of Little Bill where Little Bill's father described his job by telling the story of "The Three Little Pigs and the Housing Inspector." It inspired me to start thinking about political questions in terms of fairy tales, and so I present:

The Two Little Pigs and the CSPI Activist


Once upon a time there lived two little pigs and a CSPI activist. He didn't have a home, so every night he would visit either the little pig in the straw house, or the one in the wood house, and ask if he could sleep there. When they would ask him why he didn't have a home, he would explain that no building materials were safe.

"What about straw?", said the pig who lived in a straw house.

"No, mold spores. Very deadly."

"How about wood?" said the pig who lived in a wooden house.

"Do you know the chemicals they use to treat wood? Not to mention the toluene emitted by termites..."

"Well, how about bricks? Or granite?" both pigs would ask.

The CSPI activist would shake his head and sigh. "The sand in mortar gives you silicosis, and some granite has been shown to be a strong radon emitter."

The pigs would think about this for a while, until one would ask "Then how can you sleep in our houses? Aren't they dangerous too?"

But by that time the CSPI activist was always sound asleep.

One day, a big bad wolf came to the little clearing where the pigs and activist lived. He was looking for a meal.

First he went to the house made of straw.

"Little pig, little pig, let me come in..."

"Not by the hair of my chinny chin chin."

"Then I'll huff and I'll puff and I'll blow your house in."

And, sure enough, he did just that. The little pig, pulling himself form the debris, ran to the house made of wood.

The wolf followed, and the process repeated itself.

And so the two pigs ran to the rally being held by the CSPI activist.

The Big Bad Wolf, a bit puzzled, looked at the two pigs and the activist. "No house of brick?" (He had done this before.)

The pigs shook their heads and muttered about silicosis.

"Well, then this is going to be easy. I just have to decide whether it is pig or person first..."

The CSPI activist cleared his throat. "You do know that both pigs and humans are high in transfats and thus a primary cause of fatal cardiac conditions, don't you?"

The wolf shook his head. "You don't say." His face began to show his second thoughts. He started to turn around, when an idea struck him "Wait a minute! Didn't you also tell that story about Olestra? And about Nutrasweet causing cancer?" He smiled. "And wasn't Alar supposed to have killed me long ago?" (He did love an apple with his pig.) "You know, I think I may very well just risk those transfats."

The pigs were actually a bit tired of their freeloading chum, tired of the way he told them alcohol caused liver damage before helping them "dispose" of their beer, and the way he warned them about processed sugars before helping them "throw away" all their sweets. So, without a moment's hesitation, they turned to the wolf and smiled. "You know," they said in unison, "people are the other other white meat..."

And as they walked slowly away, chatting amiably about the relative merits of brick and granite, all they heard behind them were some short, almost inaudible complaints. "I'm allergic to animal dander..." Then nothing but the sound of gnawing and slurping.

The moral of the story? While unsubstantiated claims may let you put one over on some pigs, once a real wolf shows up, you're the first to go. Let's hope some Obamaniacs take this to heart the next time their hero talks about trying to chat our way to peace.

UPDATE

When I wrote this I forgot that not everyone shares my endless disdain for the Center for Science in the Public Interest, so not everyone knows about CSPI. As I explained in my comments, they were the first champions in the anti-transfat campaign. They were the people telling us how unhealthy Chinese take out was, how bad movie popcorn popped in palm oil was, and, in general, setting the food nazi agenda since the late 80's or early 90's.

Here are three articles I wrote on them, one of which contains a number of links to other sites decrying their excesses.
If They Were Serious
Transfats?
Nerf World
Also, junkscience.com, much reviled by eco-fearmongers and food nazis everywhere, hosts the essay "False Alarm" detailing almost 100 false scares authored by CSPI.

Bon appetit.

Email ItEmail It | Print ItPrint It | CommentsComments (6) | TrackbacksTrackbacks (0) | Flag as offensiveFlag as Offensive

Administrative Note

Regular readers may have noticed a slow down in my posting recently. Apologies for that, but it has been unavoidable. This weekend I was laid low by a few physical problems, while work has been crazy today and yesterday. As I have to go hire a property manager tomorrow, I doubt I will be posting much then either.

Since my schedule has not allowed a lot of posting, I did finally post my massive "When Help Hurts" yesterday, and I will try to write one or two this afternoon or evening. Whether or not I can get anything written late today, I think the next time I will be able to return to my usual pace will be tomorrow evening or Thursday.

Of course, that doesn't mean I will have nothing posted until Thursday, I will doubtless find some time to put up one or two little posts in the next two days, so please check back. I will also make time to respond to comments, as usual, so please don't stop writing your thoughts.

Again, sorry for the slow down in posts, all should be back to normal by the end of the week.

Email ItEmail It | Print ItPrint It | CommentsComments (9) | TrackbacksTrackbacks (0) | Flag as offensiveFlag as Offensive

When Help Hurts

Introduction

There has never yet been a law justified with the excuse "it will cause you harm". Every law or regulation is, at least nominally, intended to promote the common weal. Of course, some may be intended to help some subset of the common weal, to help women, or minorities, or the poor, or that good old standby "the children", but every law is justified by claims that it will help some or all of our fellow citizens to live a better life.

The only problem is that good intentions don't always translate into good results. Far too often, even when they act with the best of intentions, law makers, through a combination of economic illiteracy and short sightedness, manage to write laws that do more harm than good. And worse still, the laws they write often end up harming the very groups they were supposedly benefiting.

In fact, having looked at the question, I find it almost impossible to come up with an interventionist government policy which did not have, in the euphemism of economists "negative externalities". That is, whenever the government says they want to help you, run away screaming.

The best example is the old saw about  the problem of food safety regulations, that the moment the government says ground beef can contain no more than 1% rat droppings, every portion of ground beef will certainly be 1% rat droppings. And there is truth to that. Once the government establishes a floor on quality, there really is very little incentive to compete in quality, so that floor also becomes a ceiling, nothing will be worse than the government requires, but it is very unlikely much will be any better either.

But as I have no hard evidence about rat dropping in ground beef (and thank G-d for that!) I figure I should provide some examples about which we can all agree, a set of quite a few government programs which, while intended to help, and perhaps even providing some small measure of help to a few, actually ended up doing more harm than good for the very groups supposed to benefit.

1. Bankruptcy Laws

I wrote about this before, when discussing the so-called subprime lending crisis, but let us look at bankruptcy laws from a more general perspective. Rather than looking at them solely in terms of those taking out mortgages they cannot afford, we should look at bankruptcy's effect on borrowers as a whole

Now, as I wrote before, there are three ways we can approach the question of those who cannot meet their financial obligations.

We can do nothing, leaving it up to the debtors, the creditors and the courts to work out everything, but that is bad for everyone. Basically, it means the first creditors to the courthouse get their claims satisfied, while those who come later have to wait for the debtor to accumulate more assets, spurring another rush to the court. This leaves the debtor with no money for even necessities, and will likely leave many creditors completely unsatisfied. So, for both the creditors and the debtors, some sort of receivership is certainly beneficial.

The question is what receivership entails. Under both possible approaches to receivership, the receiver will manage the assets of the debtor, ensuring he has enough left for his necessities while trying to arrange fair payment schedules for those he owes money. The only difference between the two approaches to receivership is whether or not there will be any "debt forgiveness". That is, whether or not the debtor will be obligated to pay all legitimate claims against him, or if he will only have to pay some fraction of those claims.

In general, people see receivership without forgiveness as "pro-creditor" and debt forgiveness as "pro-debtor". So, when they wish to be seen as working in the interest "of the common man", they tend to pass laws granting increasing degrees of debt forgiveness to those in receivership.1 This has been conventional wisdom in the political classes for so long that they can't even see that, in reality, the "pro-debtor" policy actually harms those who try to borrow, and those with worse credit even more than those with good credit. In short, it harms exactly the people the policy supposedly helps.

How so? Simply enough, by making it likely that a lender will be legally forced to forgo collecting part or all of certain loans, the policy of debt forgiveness makes lending more expensive. When the possible losses rise, lenders tend to either raise rates, or if they are unable to raise rates high enough, usually due to rate caps (see below), they refuse to lend at all. Thus, by instituting forgiveness, "pro-debtor" bankruptcy laws make loans harder to obtain, and makes those than can be obtained more expensive for the borrower.

Worse still, form the perspective of the borrower,  the forgiveness policy makes the worse credit risks exceptionally risky, making lenders very wary of lending to them at all. So, instead of helping those who have trouble paying their debts, the policy makes it very difficult for these credit risks to borrow at all.

So, rather than helping the borrower, lenient bankruptcy laws help only one very small subset, those who already have debts and who default on them. For everyone else, the laws simply make borrowing more expensive, or, in many cases, simply impossible2.

2. Banking Regulations

This topic is quite similar to the one preceding. As it is a rather broad topic, I shall focus on just two topics3. First I will look at interest rate caps, and then I will look at the efforts of some states to prohibit "pay day loans". Both of which were enacted as regulations intended to protect the consumer, and both of which had a paradoxically harmful effect on those they claim to protect.

I already spent quite some time explaining the function of interest in an earlier essay, so I won't revisit that topic. Instead, I will rely on very simple logic to show why caps on interest rates harm borrowers, specifically the very same borrowers they supposedly protect.

The rationale for caps on allowable interest is simple, if wrong. The idea is that lenders set interest rates arbitrarily, and that left to their own devices they would charge rates far greater than justified by any economic considerations. The borrowers, either by being at such a disadvantage in negotiating strength or from simple ignorance, will accept these usurious rates and end up being bankrupted by unscrupulous lenders. It is basically the Snidely Whiplash caricature of lenders, twirling his mustache, gleefully foreclosing on the family farm while demanding the virtue of the borrower's daughter or tying her to the tracks.

It is a bit absurd, butt here is a tiny bit of truth to it. Those who deal with bad credit risks tend to be pretty hard nosed, but they have to be, because bad credit risks are, well, bad credit risks. Given the choice, most lenders would prefer to lend to those who pay all their bills in full and on time, but some, either because the market for A credit borrowers is saturated, or because C and D credit borrowers pay a better return, choose to lend to those whose repayment history is a little less consistent. And yes, they do tend to threaten legal action more often than those whose borrowers are more dependable, and they do tend to charge a higher rate of interest, but only because, in general, their borrowers default at a higher rate.

Let me give an example. I have some money to loan. I can lend it to Al, a reliable man with a steady job, large savings and spotless credit history, or to Bob, a man who has a spotty work history, no credit history at all, and meager savings. All things being equal, obviously, Al gets the loan. The only way Bob could convince em to lend to him rather than Al would be to pay me more, that is to raise the interest rate. But let us suppose there is a third borrower, Chuck. Chuck is like Bob, but more so. He has a spotty work history, no savings, and a long history of defaulting on loans. He would have to offer me even more than Bob to make me chose him as the recipient of my loan.

The problem with this is, when regulators decide certain interest rates are "unconscionable", they effectively put a limit on how much a borrower can offer to induce me to lend him my money. And that can be a problem if the borrower's credit is bad enough.

For instance, using our example above, let us suppose that Bob makes an offer, and the interest rate is just below the legal limit. Well, since Chuck has even worse credit than Bob, offering to pay the same rate won't convince me to lend to him, Bob is a safer choice if the interest rate is the same. But Chuck, even if he wants to do so, cannot increase the rate, as it would be criminal for me to accept. Which means that, unless Bob decides not to take a loan, there is simply no way Chuck can borrow the money he needs.

And that is the problem. Despite the portrayal of people "forced" into "usurious" loans, the truth is borrowers agreed to those rates of interest because they needed the money and their credit histories, incomes, and so on would not allow them to borrow at a better rate. Putting a cap on interest rates did not suddenly allow them to borrow at lower interest, it simply made it impossible to borrow at all. Which means that the law meant to protect them instead prevented them from exercising their own judgment and also kept them from obtaining money they needed.

Given that, it is easy to understand how the state bans on pay day loans were harmful as well4.

The justification is similar to that on interest caps. Borrowers, desperate for money, take short term loans at excessive rates, and do so on a regular basis. And my argument against it should be just as obvious. By substituting their judgment for the borrowers'5 regulators are trying to help those taking such loans, but in reality are preventing them from getting money they need. While the regulators may think, in the abstract, such loans are exploitive, in reality those taking such loans usually do so only because they are in dire need, and in such circumstances they are willing to accept bad rates to have the money available.

The question in both cases is this: Would you rather have the option of taking what may be a bad deal in a dire situation, or simply have no options at all? Borrowers will always have the option of not taking a loan, so by regulating caps on interest rates, or prohibiting pay day loans, the regulators did not help, they simply removed an option that was once available.

3. The Small Business Administration

The Small Business Administration is one of those government agencies which usually gets little criticism. One or two specific policies may come in for an attack now and then, but in general it gets pretty broad support across the boards. And it is easy to see why. The left likes that it provides a lot of support for inner city entrepreneurs, as well as single women, minorities, and other important constituencies, while conservatives often see it as an effort by the government to bolster self-reliance. So, while it is still in essence a government hand out, it largely avoids the criticism other programs receive.

However, that lack of criticism does not mean it is a good idea6. While on the surface the idea seems a good one, providing loans to new and existing businesses which cannot obtain traditional financing7, in reality the SBA, despite its positive image and success stories8, does more harm than good.

There are two types of SBA loans, those granted to businesses which could obtain a conventional loan and those granted to borrowers who could not. In the first case it is simply a matter of using taxpayer funds to favor businesses meeting SBA guidelines over those who do not. It creates market distortions and is basically a waste of taxpayer funds, but it it is the less harmful of the programs. While it is clear there is no reason for the SBA to grant loans where private loans are available, and it is questionable at best to favor small businesses with tax payer subsidies, they do less harm than the other loans.

The loans that cause problems are those which would not have been granted by private lenders.

To see why let us first ask why private lenders would not grant loans. Either the lender does not see merit in the business plan for a new enterprise, or else he thinks an existing enterprise is destined for failure. Now, lenders are not omniscient, and these calls can be wrong, but private lenders have quite an incentive to make these calls correctly. First, their income depends largely on knowing what will succeed or fail. If they miss too many successes they reduce their profits, and if they back too many failures they lose their shirt. Thanks to these incentives and lots of hands on experience, they tend to make the right call pretty often.

On the other hand, bureaucrats at the SBA tend to have none of these incentives. Most performance metrics have nothing to do with success or failure, instead concentrating on demographics, geographic location, race, sex, age, and other non-economic considerations. Outside of those distribution concerns, the primary focus of most bureaucrats is on rules, rules which are set by a central authority, which generally are uniform across the nation, allow for almost no flexibility, and which change slowly if at all. None of which is conducive to deciding between profitable and unprofitable businesses.

"But," I am sure some are asking, "how does this harm the borrower? You said these programs hurt the people they should help."

And they do. Quite a lot.

Let us think about it. You are a business owner. Either you are starting a new venture, or need cash to bail out an existing one. You draw up some business plans, put together a presentation, and visit a lender, maybe a bank or a venture capitalism, someone who will lend you money. After the presentation, he tells you that, in his opinion, businesses such as yours are likely to fail, and he is not giving you a loan. It hurts to hear it, but you accept his decision, and either never open the business or close down the existing enterprise.

That may hurt, at least emotionally, but let us look at the alternative.

Instead of folding, you get an SBA loan. You either open the new firm or keep the old one going. However, the original lender was correct, your firm simply does not match consumer needs. Six months later, you are still foundering and cannot pay the SBA loan. You are still forced to shut your doors. But now you are not only out of business, but you wasted six months and took on a hefty SBA loan as well.

So, how precisely, doe sit benefit those small business owners to be allowed to take out a loan for a venture which is likely to fail? Would they not be better off being stopped as early as possible, rather than wasting time and taking on debt only to fail in the future?9

4. Student Loans

I wrote some time ago about how the institution of the GI Bill and later federal student loans exerted pressure to make college education less rigorous and to basically dumb down the bachelor's degree, so I won't go into that here, instead I will talk about two related topics. How student loans made excessive educational requirements more common and how it encouraged needless education.

Before we start, I think I should remind readers that our current demand for college degrees in every position is unusual. In the past, for example, lawyers were apprenticed to other lawyers, even those who went to university to study did so as what we would call undergraduate work. Likewise, even as late as the early to mid 20th century, most newspaper work was done by those who had worked their way up through the ranks, the journalism degree simply did not exist. Similarly, accountants were largely drawn from the ranks of bookkeeping apprentices until recent times. Today it seems even positions such as secretary require at least an associate's degree, where in the past even a high school diploma was not required.

It is important to remember that when I talk about the demand for excessive education10.

The student loan made bachelor's degrees available to almost anyone. Even for those who could not meet the modest intellectual or educational requirements to achieve a bachelor's degree, they could use their student loans to get an associate's degree. Which means that, as student loans were instituted, the pool of applicants for any position came to contain a disparate number of people with college degrees. Where in the past even a bachelor's degree could qualify one for a relatively prominent position, the bachelor's came to be the bare minimum for many positions. After all, if 80% of applicants have a degree, why even bother considering those who don't?

And colleges and universities responded. Since the bachelor's degree was no longer the province solely of those entering the upper levels of the job market, the educational system started creating degrees targeted at those seeking less illustrious positions. Jobs that would have demanded a high school diploma became majors at community colleges (eg. hotel management), degrees once considered associate's degree subjects became bachelor's degrees (eg. nursing), and positions which once required only a bachelor's degree came to require graduate work (eg. law). As higher education became more common, the value dropped, as did the prestige.

So, rather than opening up the realm of higher education to the public at large, effectively student loans simply created a four year extension of high school, delaying by four years the time required to obtain the same position while dramatically increasing the cost. Students probably did emerge somewhat better educated, but not to the degree they would have had they attended a four year university prior to the era of student loans. We may have given many four more years of schooling, but likely we gave them at best one more year of knowledge.

But that is not the only harm. Student loans created one other unique modern phenomenon, the useless degree.

In the past, the combination of exclusivity and cost meant that those pursuing a degree were doing so either to enter a specific profession, to become a professor, or out of some deep and abiding love for the topic. Some did still get degrees in unemployable fields, such as fine arts or music, but thanks to the prestige of a bachelor's degree, they could still find employment. And even if they could not, usually those pursuing such degrees were intending to remain in the academic realm.

But thanks to student loans, bachelor's degrees are now both affordable and expected of the middle class. However, many have no idea what they want to do for a living, and thus end up working toward a degree which interests them, but has no application to employment11. Of course, since bachelor's degrees are so common, the degree in English or Fine Art is no longer employable, and, though the student loan deferred the costs, it did not eliminate them. Which means, thanks to the environment student loans have created, many middle class youths find themselves, at 22, saddled with massive debt to pay for a degree which does nothing to help them get a job. In some abstract sense they may be better educated, but it is hard to argue that the student loan program was of much benefit to them.

5. Social Security

I have written on social security before, though mainly to explain how the designation of "insurance" is completely false12. However, that is largely irrelevant for this essay. Instead I plan to talk about three specific ways that social security harms those it claims to benefit. First, by taking money and paying a return far below market. Second by encouraging some to fail to plan for retirement. Third, by allowing families to disclaim any responsibility to care for family members.

Let us take those last two first, as they are related.

The promise of social security is, in essence, the government will take care of you in retirement. At least that the government won't let you starve or go homeless when you are too old to work. And some take this at face value. As a result some people fail to plan for retirement, expecting that the state will be there for them. In a similar vein many family members, glad to be freed of the burden of taking care of a family member, believe the state will handle their aged relatives for them. In other words, by having the state take over functions people once performed for themselves or for family members, the state caused many people to stop planning for themselves and caring for family members.

However, by far, the biggest harm is in the money that social security takes. As with any tax, the money taken in social security could have been used by the individual. Now, this isn't a big problem when the money goes for vital services, such as police and an army, as without those the income would all be worthless. However, in the case of social security, the money taken is supposedly returned later int he form of retirement checks. However, this is a bad deal for the individual, as the yield of an average investment is better than social security. Not to mention the fact that, early in his career, when every dollar counts, he is still forced to contribute. If he had the cash available, instead of social security taking it, he could have invested it for a higher yield, put it into a business, or otherwise spent it to a better result.

The counter argument is that people would not invest, but would simply "waste" the money. And it is possible that does describe some. However, I think the growth of IRAs, 401Ks, 403bs and the general growth in private investment argues otherwise. Most Americans are well aware of the need to put away money, but social security makes that harder. By taking 12.4% of their check13  social security makes it harder to save, while paying them returns far below market.

So, while pretending to provide for people in their old age, social security discourages some from saving, while making it harder for those who still would save to do so, by taking a large portion of their income.

6. Welfare Benefits

I will write about disability benefits below, as those benefits have a specific problem all their own, in this section I am simply speaking of the remaining welfare benefits14, food stamps, cash benefits unrelated to disability, medical assistance, section 8, WIC, and all the rest of the panoply of benefits provided by the state to various individuals.

The nominal purpose of welfare is to provide individuals and families with assistance until they can get on their feet. But there is a small problem, the welfare system itself provide perverse incentives, which actively discourage those receiving welfare form ever getting off. In addition, the system actually encourages activities that are generally believed to be detrimental.

For an example of the latter, let us look at the cash assistance to women with children (what was once called AFDC, Aid to Families with Dependent Children)15. The original program, prior to reform in the mid-1990's was an outright incentive to have children. For each child the recipient would get more money. This was changed in the mid-90's so that children born after starting to receive benefits did not increase the cash component. However, this did not stop the incentives to have children. For example, the mother herself is only covered by medical assistance while pregnant and afterward, so to receive the equivalent of thousands of dollars worth of medical insurance, she needs to keep having children. Food stamps and day care assistance also increase with each child. WIC too is increased by another child. So, while it is true that reform cut off additional explicit cash payments for having more children, the remaining programs still provide incentives to continue procreating.

But along with the incentives to behave in counter-productive ways, the welfare system also provides strong disincentives to ever getting off welfare.

As I described in an earlier essay, the problem with welfare is that welfare recipients are rational when considering work. If they receive benefits of $500 per month, and they are offered a job paying $400 per month which would result in them losing their benefits, they will not take it, as it would mean working a number of hours to receive $100 less. Even if the job offered $500 per month they would probably not take it, as they can get $500 per month for doing nothing, so why work for the same pay? Even at $600 per month it is less than attractive. Why? Well, while others would see they were getting $600 for working X hours, the welfare recipient would effectively only be earning $100 for working X hours, as he could get the remaining $500 for doing nothing. In short, by paying people to do nothing, with no time horizon, it means that those seeking work see their pay as only the difference between the salary and their benefits, making jobs much less attractive.

Nor is it only cash assistance which acts as a disincentive, nor cash and food stamps. The recipient also may lose health insurance, rental subsidies, child care subsidies, and a host of other benefits which accrue to those receiving welfare. So, in order to make a job attractive to a welfare recipient it not only has to pay more than the combined value of all those benefits, but pay as much more as required to make working attractive. Which, considering that most welfare recipients are not terribly skilled, is incredibly unlikely.

So, rather than being a "hand up", welfare is of necessity a life-long handout. Once on welfare, the incentives are set up to keep recipients on it forever. Even with all the efforts to reform the system, welfare remains the Chinese finger trap of social programs, one which does nothing but encourage ever greater dependence.

7. Disability Benefits

Disability benefits suffer from all the problems of welfare, but more so. The reason being that, while welfare benefits are usually prorated as one's earnings increase, allowing one to work some small number of hours while receiving reduced benefits, disability benefits are an all or nothing proposition, where earning even a dollar causes one to lose all benefits16.

The rationale for this rule make sense. One is considered disabled because one is incapable of working, so if one works, he is, by definition, no longer disabled. As he is not disabled, he is not entitled to disability benefits.It all makes sense, but, it also prevents many from returning tot he work force.

How so? Well, we have to recognize that, to some degree, one's ability to work is a subjective matter. Two people could have the exact same symptoms, yet one finds he can work while the other cannot. Even with conditions we consider clearly disabling, there are those who find ways to work. Think of Stephen Hawking or the protagonist in the film My Left Foot, both individuals we would consider unable to work, who through their determination force themselves to carry on.

Disability payments work as the opposite of will power. Let us take a hypothetical individual, and let us imagine he suffers from horrible lower back pain. As he is without much education and has experience only in construction, it is quite fair to claim that his injury renders him disabled.

Now, let us look at two situations. First, let us imagine there is no disability insurance. That if he can't work, he will starve. It might be that that is exactly what happens, the man can't work, spends up his savings, and finds himself begging on the street. On the other hand, it is possible that, faced with starvation, he will decide his pain is more tolerable than he thought, or allows him to perform lighter duty construction work, or maybe work shorter shifts. Perhaps he will find a way to learn a new trade, or will work his way through menial jobs to a better position which requires no heavy lifting. It is remarkable what options one finds when faced with starvation.

On the other hand, let us imagine there is disability money available, and our individual qualifies. As he is getting money for nothing, there is no incentive to take any menial job, as it will pay less than doing nothing. Nor is there much incentive to work his way up in a new profession, as, while he may earn more in the long run, he will be losing money for a long time, with no guarantee he will eventually work his way up. And, while this sounds a lot like the welfare discussion above, it is even worse, as the moment he earns even one dollar, he loses ALL his benefits, making even the most trivial job immensely costly.

And it is not just work, even taking the steps to prepare oneself for work can be risky. As disability is determined by a combination of injury, work history and education, training to qualify for a new position can be enough in itself to make one no longer disabled. Which means that if our hypothetical construction worker planned to take courses in computer programming so that when he got a job it would pay enough to make it worth his while, he could find that, during medical review of his case, he is no longer considered disabled well before he is ready to get a new job. Which obviously acts as quite a brake on efforts to better oneself.

All of which means that the existence of disability payments, by their very nature, will ensure that those qualifying will remain disabled for longer and will do very little to try to return themselves to the work force, as efforts in that direction are likely to cause them to lose their benefits without providing them with a commensurate income from work. Rather than providing money to carry them through recuperation, disability payments tend to encourage workers to remain disabled as long as possible.

8. Affirmative Action and Quotas

Affirmative action is a little different in that it does provide some concrete benefits. However, it still fits my pattern, as, though it provides benefits, it also serves to exacerbate the problem it was intended to remedy.

The concrete benefits are easy to see. Affirmative action was instituted to ensure that minorities are admitted to colleges and hired for jobs in greater numbers. And it does that quite well. The problem comes when we look at the reasoning behind affirmative action, and the results of those hiring and admission decisions.

The rationale behind affirmative action is that minorities suffered discrimination for so long that, even after any discriminatory practices are eliminated, they are at a competitive disadvantage and need some assistance to achieve proportional representation in schools or workplaces17. Along with this justification, the argument is usually offered that, by being exposed to minorities in school and the workplace, any lingering trace of racism will be eliminated in the majority population, and they will come to understand that minorities are their equals.

And it is precisely there that affirmative action fails. While it may get jobs for minorities, and may allow them admission to the best colleges, as far as attitudes are concerned, affirmative action does incredible harm.

Now, it is not precisely racism that affirmative action inspires, though it may in some, instead affirmative action engenders other damaging attitudes. By giving minority applicants preference, affirmative action causes every minority student or employee to be suspect. Those around them begin to ask themselves whether a minority was admitted or hired on his merits or due to his race. While it is not explicitly racist, the new attitude has a pattern similar tot he result of racism, as it makes the qualifications of every minority student or employee suspect.

Nor do the supposed beneficiaries escape harm. Not only do they suffer from the suspicions of those around them, but they themselves are often troubled by the question of whether they are achieving their successes entirely on their own merits or because of affirmative action. They can never truly know that they are earning their own successes, and that doubt can be quite troubling. Which means that, while trying to improve the lot of minorities and improve racial relations, affirmative action actually introduces both self-doubt and suspicion, making the situation worse, not better.

Conclusion

This essay could go on and on. Originally I had intended to include bits on how biofuel laws resulted in massive deforestation and intensive farming, as well as how business licensing restricted competition and raised prices for consumers. I even had planned to write about how unemployment insurance, by providing a safety net, encouraged prolonged unemployment and applications to inappropriate positions to maintain eligibility. But I then realized that I could continue adding examples until the essay ran 100,000 words or more, so I cut myself off. The eight examples above should be more than enough to make my point.

And what is my point?

Simply that just because a law says it is to benefit a group, there is no reason to take it at face value. In reality, intentions have little to do with outcomes, and even though a law is intended to benefit a specific individual or group, it may harm another group, or may even harm its supposed beneficiaries. In fact, the more I look at specific examples, the more frequently I notice laws which provide some tiny transient benefit to a specific group, but at the same time do that group massive, if less obvious, harm.

But that is the price for using government to solve inappropriate problems. Government is great at policing, at adjudicating, and providing for defense. Beyond that, government is a poor fit. It can be used to solve everything from poverty to indigestion, but the question is "at what cost?" The government just is ill suited to such uses, and forcing a fit often means we expend a lot more effort finding a government solution than we would resolving it privately.

And that is truly what is at the root of all these sets of mismatched costs and benefits. It is not that government is inherently bad, it is that government is bad at these sorts of problems. The harms we see above are nothing but the added costs incurred by trying to use the wrong tool for the job. Just as using a crowbar to drive in finishing nails will result in a bit of damage, using government to cure poverty will as well. Which is why we need to look very closely at a problem before we decide that the state is the best way to fix it.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

1. Though politicians often sell the story that the general public is largely made up of debtors and that "big business" are largely creditors, in reality corporations are largely debtors, while bond holders are creditors, as are those holding some types of preferred stock. In fact, as investment has become more widespread, the truth is that more "common men" are creditors than they realize. Even with the division of personal and corporate bankruptcy, individuals are often hurt by lenient personal bankruptcy laws, as they own stocks in companies which hold personal debt, making them creditors to individuals who now have debt forgiveness. So the attempt to equate debtors and "the common man" is mistaken, though it does make political sense for demagogues trying to buy votes.

2. I am ignoring here the truth that often the money being lent is actually money owned by "the common man". Either through direct investment or through savings accounts, the average man's money is often the money which is not being repaid due to bankruptcy laws. In other words, while helping a few defaulters, lenient bankruptcy laws make those with savings accounts or investments earn lower returns. So, not only do these laws make borrowing harder for the common man, but they also impede the accumulation of wealth by the common man.

3. I also dealt with the role some banking regulations played in causing bank failures in the essays "How to Blame the Free Market", "The Limits of Technocracy", "Inventing a Crisis", "Inventing a Crisis III", "And Here It Comes Again" and "To Correct Debra Saunders".

4. In the interest of full disclosure, I must reveal that, before Maryland outlawed them, I used a "pay day" loan service twice. In one case my wife and I were out of cash, had no credit cards at the time, and needed to have emergency car repairs done a few days before we were paid. The pay day loan, though the rate was steep, allowed me to get to work when I would otherwise have had to use nearly a week of vacation waiting for a pay check to pay for car repairs. (I don't recall the reason for the second time we used it, though I recall it was to pay some urgent outstanding bill.)

5. I have written often on how arrogance is a part of liberalism, including the assumption that most people make bad choices and the assumption that regulators and legislators have better judgment than the public. You can read more on the topic in my essays "Arrogance", "The Essence of Liberalism", "Arrogance and Gun Control", "Liberal Tolerance", "The Racism of the Left", "Our View of Our Fellow Citizens", "Hilarious!", "Those Other People", "Seeing People as Stupid", "Man's Nature and Government", "It Is All In How You Say It", "Pride", "Lying Politicians and 'Other People'", and "Two Kinds of Liberal".

6. I would argue that when both sides of the aisle agree on something, it is more often than not a truly awful idea. Anything that can appeal to both parties usually means nothing good for the citizens.

7. The SBA also provides some education and counseling to business owners, but that is a small part of what it does. In terms of budget, granting loans is clearly its principal function.

8.  I am sure there are a handful of success stories, businesses which could not get traditional loans and which were saved by the SBA before going on to great success. That proves nothing. If I were to open fire with a machine gun in a crowded city intersection I would doubtless kill a few criminals along with many innocent, that does not mean it is a good law enforcement technique.

9. Some will argue the SBA serves the same role as the venture capitalist, but my question is, if they do screen that thoroughly, why do we need them? If they only grant loans private lenders would, then why waste taxes on the SBA? Unless they are giving loans where private enterprise would not, there is no reason for the SBA. And if they are, then they do more harm than good. In short, I can't imagine why we need the SBA.

10. To some degree the demand for college education in many positions where it was previously not required is due to the dumbing down of public education. But with many universities doing no better, and with bachelor's degree available in fluff topics such as "media studies", even a bachelor's guarantees nothing. So, while bad high schools are somewhat to blame, I think the real culprit is the simple ease with which anyone can obtain a degree in modern times. Similarly, the transformation of many fields from undergraduate degrees to graduate degrees (eg. law) is largely due to the lack of respect granted bachelor's degrees now that they are almost universally available.

11. Just ask your humble author, the holder of a BA in history. Originally I intended to get a doctorate in history, but as I was surprised to figure out I would graduate in mid-year (I hadn't kept track of my credits), I missed the GRE deadline, and ended up taking the LSAT as it was the only test with open dates. Getting a 48 out of 48, I decided maybe I was a lawyer after all. A year of law school corrected that mistaken impression, and I returned to get a BA in both economics and finance. When I did take the GRE I got 800/800/800, but sadly that didn't qualify for cash from Perdue's doctoral program. Underfunded, I gave up on education for a long time. But academia' loss is your gain. Had I received my doctorate, doubtless I would be writing for dull journals rather than amusing my handful of regulars here.

12. I also discuss the significance of the deceptive claim that Social Security is insurance in my essay "Justified Lies?"

13. While many only see the half of the social security tax they pay, the employer considers both halves when calculating salary, so, while the state hides it, the individual really pays the full tax, regardless of what the paycheck says. I explain this in greater detail in "Justified Lies".

14. I discuss similar topics in my essays "Exit Strategy", "Consequences", and "Why Must the Government Do It? Part I".

15. My terminology may be out of date, as my time working at social services was some time ago. As I left a little after the Clinton era welfare reforms took place, I am not current with the terminology, so excuse me if I use somewhat outdated names for the programs.

16. The military has a more practical system of allowing partial disability. Basically they recognize that, while one may not be completely unable to work, being disqualified from certain types of work, or from working for more than a certain amount of time can also be an impediment to earning a living, and allow for payments for partial disability. Doing something similar in the general welfare rolls would be prohibitively expensive, but I do have to say that the military approach allows for disabled veterans to rejoin the work force more easily.

17. I am not going to debate the validity of this position. I am simply presenting the rationale as I understand it. Whether it is valid or not is a matter for other essays. For our purposes we do not need to know whether or not this is a valid argument.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

Spell Checker Note: I haven't complained about my spell check software in a long time, but today it came up with a very peculiar complaint. Unlike its complain that "advisor" is misspelled, this one is not even arguable. My spell checker thinks "renders" is not a proper word. I can't even begin to guess why. It also dislikes "associate's", which I don't understand either. If anyone who worked on Firefox's spell check software happens by, can you please explain what happened? Honestly, you make old Microsoft Works' spell checker seem a marvel of engineering by comparison.

Email ItEmail It | Print ItPrint It | CommentsComments (4) | TrackbacksTrackbacks (0) | Flag as offensiveFlag as Offensive

Two Kinds of Liberal

I have often accused liberals of arrogance, but in reality that is not quite fair. Arrogance is characteristic of one type of liberal, but not all liberals. The problem is that the arrogant type of liberal is most often the one who goes into politics, so I tend to think of them alone. However, in reality, arrogance is not an essential characteristic of liberals.

If not arrogance, then what defines liberals? The answer is pessimism, specifically pessimism about man. Where the founding fathers and most of the thinkers of the age of reason thought that, left to his own devices, man would eventually adopt the best course of action, liberalism is characterized by the belief that man is inherently doomed. Whether it is A.J.P. Taylor's belief that man is largely stupid or Kurt Vonnegut's chemical/biological determinism, the basis of all liberal thought is that man cannot be trusted to handle his own affairs.

There are two possible responses to this view of man. There is the one adopted by politicians (and Edmund Burke), the belief that man can be constrained by laws and forced to behave, and there is the one adopted by environmentalists and some liberal intellectuals (as well as Twain in some of his blacker moods), embracing an attitude of resignation, believing that man is simply doomed.

Now, of necessity, the first solution has a degree of arrogance involved. After all, if man is inherently too stupid to run his own affairs, then there would be no way to constrain him, otherwise he would not be hopeless. So to postulate that man can be constrained, they have to also postulate, either explicitly or implicitly that there are those who can see the problems and resolve them, in other words, an elite. Which is why I have so often said political liberals are arrogant. All of their policies are predicated upon both the incompetence of the great mass of humanity and the superiority of a small group who should rule.

This arrogance can appear among the second type of liberals but it is not necessary. Those who believe man is destined for a bad end, or that he simply cannot be controlled often do not postulate such an elite, or else think themselves the sole member of such an elite, the single man capable of seeing how foolish mankind is. Others, such as the hard-core anti-man wing of the environmentalists, imagine an elite exists, but not one strong enough to restrain man's destructive impulses. As a result, they rarely have much in the way of political philosophy, and the few who do tend to adopt the nihilism of the most pessimistic environmentalists.

So, I was actually wrong and right in describing liberals as arrogant. All liberals have some arrogance in believing they can see the stupidity of humankind which is hidden from everyone else, but the truly arrogant political position I was describing is limited to the more optimistic liberals, those who believe they can reshape man into something better, while there are others who, being less optimistic about our fate, tend to lack that particular conceit.

Email ItEmail It | Print ItPrint It | CommentsComments (8) | TrackbacksTrackbacks (0) | Flag as offensiveFlag as Offensive

The Second Coming (Of Howard Dean)

I had a bit of a revelation today. I was thinking about Obama. About his massive support among usually apathetic college age students. About his successful fund raising. His ability to defeat established politicians who should have won. His grassroots support. His internet presence. His image as a "different kind" of politician.

It all started to sound a little familiar.

Does anyone else recall a guy named Howard Dean? He too was a candidate out of left field, who tapped into a "youth revolution". Who had massive fund raising and exploited the internet. Except for the racial angle, Howard Dean and Barrack Obama could be twins.

Except that Obama won Iowa and so he never had to mimic the Dean Scream. And by the time his real idiocies took place, whether Reverend Wright or the proposal to invade Pakistan, he was safely inside a media bubble, preventing most of the public form hearing enough about his blunders to realize what a dolt he really is.

It is funny when you think about it. Had Howard Dean won Iowa, he may have been giving speeches in Berlin about being a citizen fo the world.

So, next time someone insists Obama is unique, something new, a completely different phenomenon, remind them of the Deaniacs who preceded the Obamaniacs.

Email ItEmail It | Print ItPrint It | CommentsComments (2) | TrackbacksTrackbacks (0) | Flag as offensiveFlag as Offensive

New Campaign Slogan

I was watching McCain's "biggest celebrity in the world" advertisement when it hit me. I have the perfect McCain slogan. It would instantly tell every voter what's wrong with Obama.

Say No to Europe, Vote McCain.

Simple, is it not?


Email ItEmail It |